武汉市"十一五"规划战略环境评价实践

以武汉市"十一五"规划战略环境评价为例,探讨了我国城市国民经济和社会发展规划战略环境评价的技术路线、指标体系与评价方法.研究表明,对城市空间布局、产业布局、产业结构以及城市交通的环境适宜性进行综合评价是这类规划战略环境评价的重要特征;互动式的评价模式能使环境因素及时、有效地纳入到决策过程中;指标体系是预测评价的基础,指标的选择除考虑科学性、代表性外还应强调可获得性、可量化性及可考核性.     

基于统计分析的绩效评价方法研究

对绩效进行评价，指标的层次结构及其权重的确定直接影响评价指标体系的实用性和评价结果的客观性与科学性．为确保分析结果客观、科学，在分析了层次分析法分层和权重确定时存在不足的基础上，提出一种新方法．首先，运用统计分析中的因子分析方法，为指标进行分层归类；其次，根据因子分析中子因子在主因子上的载荷，确定各个子因子在其主因子上的权重值；再次，根据子因子在其主因子上的权重值，并结合各主因子在总目标（一级指标）上的贡献率，确定出各个子因子在总目标上的权重值；最后，通过实例证明了方法的实用性．     

太原市可持续发展评价指标体系的建立

简述了可持续发展的涵义以及可持续发展评价指标体系的理论基础，根据城市可持续发展的内涵和太原市的城市发展战略，精选出41个重要指标组成太原市可持续发展评价指标体系，并最终生成一个由目标层、准则层、领域层及指标层构成的层次体系。     

主城区人行交通道路照明质量评价指标

采用客观与主观相结合的实验方法对重庆市主城区的部分人行道照明进行了实测,通过对大量测试信息的处理及分析,证明了半柱面照度应是人行道照明评价的最佳参数,并指出了现行人行道照明标准中评价指标的不足之处.研究中首次将计算机灰阶分离方法用于夜间行人面部特征的分析,从而得出立体感指标的适用范围和应用条件.该研究为人行道照明评价指标的制定提供了实验依据及科学的方法.     

应用主成分分析方法对区域规划指标体系进行降维及评价

结合主成分分析方法的原理,运用SPSS统计软件,采用2006年成都市所辖9个区规模以上工业企业的主要经济指标数据,将12个指标降阶为3个指标,并根据主成分得分对各个区进行了综合评价分析,通过实例论证了主成分分析方法在区域规划指标体系的应用具有可行性和可操作性。     

Can PC format CV reveal the true value of environmental resources in developing countries？ A laboratory experiment in China

This is a report on payment card format contingent valuation prediction validity in China based on the individual level comparison in a world heritage site evaluation. An evaluation index system of indicators is set up according to the consistency of the individual willingness to pay as well as the mean （or median）, the positive （or negative） proportion in the hypothetical context and those in the actual donation context. We took the conservation of a combined world heritage site Wuyi Mountain in China as the case study. By one-to-one individual level comparison, we demonstrate that people usually overstate their paying intention and overestimate their paying abilities, and the hypothetical individual WTP, mean, median, positive proportion and negative proportion are all significantly different from those in the actual context in this case. However, although the relationship between WTP and socioeconomic characteristics in the hypothetical context was not consistent with that in the actual situation, the survey still demonstrated the maximum support proportion and the least opponent proportion to the project when it was carried out. So we can conclude that in this case PC format CV is a poor indicator, partly owning to its free binding. We also find that when a person decides whether to pay （intention）, he or she is more affected by his/her knowledge structure and social duty; when he/she really decides on how much he/she will pay, income becomes the most important factor.     

城市污水量预测模型及方法综述

预测污水量是城市排水系统的规划、设计、运行和管理所需要的基本数据.为了获得合理的污水量预测值,目前常用的污水量预测模型和方法,包括回归分析法、系统动力学法、ARMA模型、灰色模型、BP人工神经网络法和指标分析法等,同时讨论了这些模型和方法的原理及其应用,并论述了各类模型和方法的“优缺点”.     

Modeling European industrial production with multivariate singular spectrum analysis: A cross‐industry analysis

In this paper, an optimized multivariate singular spectrum analysis (MSSA) approach is proposed to find leading indicators of cross‐industry relations between 24 monthly, seasonally unadjusted industrial production (IP) series for German, French, and UK economies. Both recurrent and vector forecasting algorithms of horizontal MSSA (HMSSA) are considered. The results from the proposed multivariate approach are compared with those obtained via the optimized univariate singular spectrum analysis (SSA) forecasting algorithm to determine the statistical significance of each outcome. The data are rigorously tested for normality, seasonal unit root hypothesis, and structural breaks. The results are presented such that users can not only identify the most appropriate model based on the aim of the analysis, but also easily identify the leading indicators for each IP variable in each country. Our findings show that, for all three countries, forecasts from the proposed MSSA algorithm outperform the optimized SSA algorithm in over 70% of cases. Accordingly, this new approach succeeds in identifying leading indicators and is a viable option for selecting the SSA choices L and r, which minimizes a loss function.     

基于生态足迹理论的体育场馆可持续发展研究--以大连市体育中心为例

采用文献资料法、实地调查法、数据挖掘与分析等研究方法,基于生态足迹和能值理论,建立了体育场馆全生命周期生态足迹评价模型。分别在两种收益模式下对大连市体育中心全生命周期的生态足迹进行了分析与评价,并验证了模型的适用性,结果显示：在传统收益模式下,体育中心在全生命周期内处于生态赤字状态;在配套开发土地与自身运营相结合的双重收益模式下,体育中心在全生命周期中呈生态盈余状态。最后提出体育场馆可持续发展的建议：在体育场馆规划、建设、运营过程中,利用生态足迹评价模型进行可持续性评价;通过减物质化生产等措施降低建设和运营成本;通过开发体育新城区等方式增加其全生命周期内的收益。     

运输类飞机驾驶舱视界的适航符合性验证研究

针对适航条款CCAR 25.773(a)(1)对驾驶舱视界的要求,通过对比分析美国航天推荐准则(ARP)4101/2和咨询通告(AC)25.773-1,从清晰无障碍视界、着陆视界和视界障碍物三个方面对驾驶舱视界的适航符合性验证评估指标进行了总结。着重分析了无障碍视界范围和视界障碍物投影尺寸的测量方法,并通过VB对CATIA二次开发的方式将其编制成驾驶舱视界测量程序。最后对某型飞机三维驾驶舱模型的无障碍视界和视界障碍物(风挡前立柱,左前立柱,左侧立柱)投影尺寸进行测量,从驾驶舱视界适航验证的角度对该三维驾驶舱模型的驾驶舱视界设计提出一定的建议。